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સંસદમાં રજૂ કરાયો આર્થિક સર્વે, જાણો કેવું છે ભારતીય અર્થવ્યવસ્થાનું સ્વાસ્થ્ય

મંગળવારે સંસદમાં નાણાકીય વર્ષ 2022-23 માટેનો આર્થિક સર્વે રજૂ કરવામાં આવ્યો છે. આમાં ભારતીય અર્થવ્યવસ્થા વિશે ઘણી સારી બાબતો અને કેટલીક ચિંતાઓ પણ વ્યક્ત કરવામાં આવી છે. આર્થિક સર્વેની તમામ મહત્ત્વ બાબતો જાણીએ –

ભારતની અર્થવ્યવસ્થા 2023-24માં 6.5 ટકાના દરે  વધશે. સાથે જ ચાલુ નાણાકીય વર્ષમાં જીડીપી વૃદ્ધિ 7 ટકા રહેશે. નાણાકીય વર્ષ 2021-22માં ભારતીય અર્થવ્યવસ્થાનો વિકાસ દર 8.7 ટકા હતો.

ભારત વિશ્વમાં સૌથી ઝડપથી વિકસતી મુખ્ય અર્થવ્યવસ્થા બની રહેશે. ભારતીય અર્થતંત્ર મજબૂત બની રહ્યું છે. ખાનગી વપરાશ, ઉચ્ચ મૂડીપક્ષ, કોર્પોરેટ બેલેન્સ શીટમાં મજબૂતી, નાના ઉદ્યોગો માટે ધિરાણ વૃદ્ધિ અને શહેરોમાં સ્થળાંતરિત કામદારોના પરત આવવાથી વૃદ્ધિને વેગ મળ્યો છે.

ખરીદ શક્તિ સમાનતા (PPP)ની દ્રષ્ટિએ ભારત વિશ્વની ત્રીજી સૌથી મોટી અર્થવ્યવસ્થા છે. જયારે વિનિમય દરની દ્રષ્ટિએ તે પાંચમી સૌથી મોટી અર્થવ્યવસ્થા છે. વૈશ્વિક આર્થિક અને રાજકીય વિકાસના આધારે આગામી નાણાકીય વર્ષમાં વાસ્તવિક જીડીપી વૃદ્ધિ 6-6.8 ટકા રહી શકે છે.

કોરોના મહામારીમાંથી ભારતની રિકવરી પ્રમાણમાં ઝડપી રહી છે. આ સાથે ભારતીય અર્થવ્યવસ્થાને મજબૂત સ્થાનિક માંગનો ટેકો મળ્યો છે. તેના કારણે મૂડી રોકાણમાં ઉછાળો આવ્યો છે.

ભારતીય રિઝર્વ બેંકનો અંદાજ છે કે વર્તમાન નાણાકીય વર્ષમાં ફુગાવો મહત્તમ 6.8 ટકાના દરે પહોંચી શકે છે. ફુગાવાને કાબૂમાં રાખવા માટે દેવું લાંબા સમય સુધી મોંઘું રહી શકે છે. યુએસ સેન્ટ્રલ બેંક યુએસ ફેડ દ્વારા વ્યાજ દરમાં વધારાની શક્યતાથી ડોલર સામે રૂપિયો નબળો પડી શકે છે.

વૈશ્વિક બજારમાં કોમોડિટીના ભાવ ઊંચા રહેવાને કારણે ચાલુ ખાતાની ખાધ વધી શકે છે. સાથે જ અર્થતંત્રમાં સારી માંગ છે. જો ચાલુ ખાતાની ખાધ વધશે તો રૂપિયો નબળો પડશે.

ચાલુ નાણાકીય વર્ષના બીજા ભાગમાં નિકાસમાં વૃદ્ધિની ગતિ થોડી ધીમી પડી છે. ધીમો વૈશ્વિક વિકાસ, ઘટતા વૈશ્વિક વેપારે ચાલુ વર્ષના બીજા ભાગમાં નિકાસ પ્રોત્સાહનમાં ઘટાડો કર્યો છે.

PM કિસાન, PM ગરીબ કલ્યાણ યોજના જેવી યોજનાઓએ ભારતમાં ગરીબી ઘટાડવામાં નોંધપાત્ર યોગદાન આપ્યું છે. PLI, નેશનલ લોજિસ્ટિક્સ પોલિસી અને PM ગતિ શક્તિ જેવી યોજનાઓ લોનની સરળ ઉપલબ્ધતા, મૂડી રોકાણ, જાહેર ડિજિટલ પ્લેટફોર્મના વિસ્તરણ અને આર્થિક વિકાસને વેગ આપવા માટે શરૂ કરવામાં આવી છે. તેનાથી વિકાસને ગતિ મળી છે.

જાન્યુઆરી-નવેમ્બર, 2022માં નાના ઉદ્યોગો માટે ધિરાણ વૃદ્ધિ નોંધનીય રીતે 30.5 ટકાથી વધુ રહી. ન વેચાયેલી ઇન્વેન્ટરીમાં ઘટાડો અને પેન્ટઅપ ડિમાન્ડના ઉદભવને કારણે મકાનોના ભાવમાં વધારો થયો.

ચાલુ નાણાકીય વર્ષના એપ્રિલ-નવેમ્બરમાં કેન્દ્ર સરકારની મૂડીમાં 63.4 ટકાનો વધારો થયો છે. ભારતની અર્થવ્યવસ્થામાં સ્થિતિસ્થાપકતાએ રશિયા-યૂક્રેન સંઘર્ષ છતાં વિકાસની ગતિ જાળવી રાખવામાં મદદ કરી. વિદેશી રોકાણકારોના ઉપાડથી બેફિકર થઈને શેરબજારે કેલેન્ડર વર્ષ 2022 માં સકારાત્મક વળતર આપ્યું.

ભારતે મોટા ભાગની અર્થવ્યવસ્થાઓ કરતાં અસાધારણ પડકારોનો સારી રીતે સામનો કર્યો છે. FY21 માં ઘટાડા પછી, નાના ઉદ્યોગો દ્વારા GST ચૂકવણીમાં વધારો થવા પર GST સંગ્રહમાં તીવ્ર વધારો થયો છે. હવે તે રોગચાળા પહેલાનું સ્તર વટાવી ગયું છે.

ખાનગી વપરાશ, મૂડી નિર્માણની આગેવાની હેઠળ ચાલુ નાણાકીય વર્ષમાં આર્થિક વૃદ્ધિએ નોકરીઓનું સર્જન કરવામાં મદદ કરી છે. શહેરી રોજગાર દરમાં ઘટાડો થયો છે, જ્યારે કર્મચારીઓના ભવિષ્ય નિધિની નોંધણીમાં વધારો થયો છે.

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